Paris, France – Voters in mainland France are currently participating in the first round of a crucial parliamentary election that has the potential to shape the country’s government towards nationalist and far-right parties. The outcome of this election, set to conclude on July 7, is expected to have significant implications on European financial markets, Western support for Ukraine, and the management of France’s nuclear arsenal and global military presence.

Amid rising frustrations over inflation and economic challenges, President Emmanuel Macron’s leadership faces criticism for being perceived as arrogant and disconnected from the lives of many French citizens. Marine Le Pen’s anti-immigration National Rally party has capitalized on this discontent, notably through online platforms like TikTok, leading in pre-election opinion polls.

In addition to the rise of the National Rally, a new left-wing coalition known as the New Popular Front is challenging Macron and his centrist alliance, Together for the Republic. With 49.5 million registered voters participating in the election to choose 577 members of the National Assembly, tensions are high as the future direction of France hangs in the balance.

The election campaign, marked by increased hate speech, commenced early in France’s overseas territories, with polling stations opening in mainland France at 8 a.m. The first polling projections are expected to be released at 8 p.m. following the closure of the final polling stations, with official results anticipated later that night.

Notably, the French Pacific territory of New Caledonia recently experienced unrest and violence following attempts by Macron’s government to amend the French Constitution and change voting lists. These actions were met with resistance by the Indigenous Kanak people, sparking civil unrest in the region.

In light of the upcoming election results, an uneasy atmosphere prevails as the National Rally gains traction, potentially positioning themselves to secure a parliamentary majority. If successful, Macron may face the challenge of sharing power with the National Rally in a system of “cohabitation,” weakening his authority both domestically and internationally.

As the election unfolds, predictions regarding the final composition of the National Assembly remain uncertain due to the complicated voting system and potential alliances forged between parties. While past tactical maneuvers have prevented far-right candidates from gaining power, the widespread support for Le Pen’s party signals a shifting political landscape in France.

The rise of far-right ideologies, coupled with promises of significant public spending by various political factions, has stirred concern over France’s economic stability and debt levels. The election outcome will not only shape domestic policies but also influence France’s position within the European Union and on the global stage.