Tehran, Iran – The Iranian capital, home to over 10 million residents, faces an impending water crisis that could force evacuations due to the most severe drought in decades. Recent data reveals a staggering decline in precipitation, with the city experiencing a complete lack of measurable rainfall compared to the previous year. Unless significant rain falls soon, officials warn that parts of Tehran may need to be evacuated within weeks.

At the heart of this water crisis is the Amir Kabir Dam, historically a vital resource for the region. Currently, it holds only 14 million cubic meters of water, which represents a mere 8% of its total capacity. Experts estimate that this meager supply could sustain the city for just two weeks under existing circumstances. The city relies on five major dams – Lar, Mamlu, Amir Kabir, Taleqan, and Latyan – but collectively, these are at only about 8% capacity, with some facilities reporting even lower levels.

The dire situation transcends local challenges, reflecting a broader national emergency. Under the current political climate, the government’s extensive repression has resulted in significant unrest and loss of life; reports indicate over 2,000 fatalities in just over a year amid tightening governmental control. As Tehran grapples with dwindling resources, citizens face not only environmental collapse but also profound societal unrest.

Tehran province received a mere 159 millimeters of rainfall in the last year, marking the lowest annual total in a century. Furthermore, since September 23, the region has recorded no measurable rain. Officials highlight that current dam reserves have plummeted to approximately 252 million cubic meters, significantly down from 420 million in previous years. Forecasts for the coming months offer little relief, predicting no substantial rainfall until December.

The situation is exacerbated by the state of the Karaj Dam, which is currently operating at just 7% capacity. Experts suggest that the supply of clean water from this source may be entirely depleted within a fortnight. Mehdi Maghsoudi, director of Karaj Water Affairs, expressed urgency in addressing the dwindling water resources.

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has acknowledged the grim outlook, indicating the necessity of implementing water restrictions as soon as next month if the drought continues. He stressed the potential for forced evacuations should the situation fail to improve.

Tehran’s water consumption averages about three million cubic meters each day, underscoring the precarious nature of the situation. The current convergence of a relentless drought, governmental shortcomings, and challenging economic conditions paints a troubling picture for the nation, as both its natural resources and population are increasingly under threat.